Must be tough being a political pundit this year. The professional kind, I mean. Not the rank amateurs like me whose livelihood thankfully doesn't depend on the accuracy of his political prognostications. I mean, how would you like to be Dick Morris, the proud author of a 2006 book that predicted the 2008 Presidential Race would be between Hillary Clinton and Condoleeza Rice?
Who could have possibly predicted that Rudy Guiliani, who for the better part of two years was the presumptive Republican standard-bearer would drop out before Super Tuesday and would never garner more than 9% of the vote in any primary? Who would have thought that the much vaulted entrance of Fred Thompson into the race would be a humongous dud? Who could have predicted that Barack Obama would give Hillary Clinton a run for her money and stand in the way of the coronation of Mrs. Clinton that everyone thought was inevitable? And who could have foreseen that John McCain would have more lives than a cat and that the oldest candidate - whose campaign pundits said last rites over six months ago - would be atop the Republican leaderboard heading into the home stretch of the primary season?
Not me, that's for sure. In fact, some of my bad predictions can be found in this blog's archives! It just goes to prove Yogi Berra's immortal theorem: It ain't over till it's over.
Super Tuesday next week ought to be really, really interesting. Stay tuned.
Comments